How Widely is Blind Assessment Used in Scientific Research?
Alternative Therapies 5(3), 88-91, May 1999
by Rupert Sheldrake
INTRODUCTION
In everyday life, as in scientific research, "our beliefs,
desires and expectations can influence, often subconsciously, how we observe
and interpret things", as a recent article in the Skeptical Inquirer
expressed it.(note 1) In experimental psychology and
clinical research, these principles are widely recognized, which is why experiments
in these subjects are often carried out under blind or double-blind conditions.
There is overwhelming experimental evidence that experimenters' attitudes
and expectations can indeed influence the outcome of experiments.(note
2)
In single-blind experiments, an investigator does not know which samples or
treatments are which. But when human subjects are involved, as in medicine and
experimental psychology, double-blind procedures can be used to guard against
the expectancy of both subjects and investigators. In a double-blind clinical
trial, for example, some patients are given tablets of a drug and others are
given similar-looking placebo tablets, pharmacologically inert. Neither researchers
nor patients know who gets what.
In such experiments, the largest placebo effects usually occur in trials in
which both patients and physicians believe a powerful new treatment is being
tested.(note 3) The inert tablets tend to work like the
treatment being studied, and can even induce its characteristic side-effects.(note
4). Likewise, experimenter expectancy effects are well know in experimental
psychology, and also show up in experiments on animal behavior.(note
2)
In a fascinating historical account, Kaptchuk (note 5) has
shown that blind assessment first began in the late 18th century "as a
tool for fraud detection mounted by elite mainstream scientists and physicians
to challenge the suspected delusions or charlatanism of unconventional medicine."
Some of the first experiments were carried out to evaluate mesmerism, and were
literally conducted with blindfolds. They took place in France at the house
of Benjamin Franklin, the American minister plenipotentiary, who was head of
a commission of inquiry appointed by King Louis XVI.
The use of blind assessment had been adopted by the mid-nineteenth century
by homeopaths, and by the end of that century was taken up by psychologists
and psychical researchers. But it was not until the 1930s that the potential
of blind techniques combined with no-treatment control groups in clinical trials
was widely recognized by mainstream medical researchers, and only after World
War II did blind assessment in randomized controlled trials became a standard
and normative technique.
In medicine and psychology, blind experimentation began as a deterrent against
the unconventional, but its general importance has been recognized for orthodox
research; it has been internalized. Although researchers in unconventional medicine
and their skeptical critics have been aware of the possible effects of expectation
and belief for over two hundred years, and conventional medical researchers
and psychologists for decades, how widely has this awareness spread throughout
the scientific community? What about the beliefs and expectations of experimenters
in other branches of science? No one seems to know how important they might
be. There seems to be a tacit assumption that scientists in orthodox fields
of inquiry are immune from the general principle that "beliefs, desires
and expectations can influence, often subconsciously, how we observe and interpret
things".
In this article I attempt by means of 2 surveys to quantify the attention or
inattention to possible experimenter effects in different fields of science.
The first surveys was directed toward published reports in the scientific literature
to see how frequently blind procedures were used in different branches of science.
In the second survey, individuals in 11 British university science departments
were asked whether blind methodologies were practiced or taught. The results
reveal that blind methodologies are rarely if ever practiced or taught in physics,
chemistry, or much of biology. I conclude this article by proposing a simple
experimental procedure for assessing the importance of experimenter expectancy
effects in areas where their potential influence has so far been neglected.
SURVEY METHODS
Literature survey
A survey of scientific literature was conducted between October 1996 and April
1998. Leading journals were selected in different fields of experimental science,
and the most recent numbers available in libraries were examined. The Contents
pages were photocopied, and were used for recording the category of each paper
listed on them. The papers were then examined in detail, with particular attention
to the Methods sections, and classified into one of the following categories:
1. Not applicable: papers that did not involve experimental investigations,
for example theoretical or review articles.
2. Blind or double-blind methodologies used.
3. Blind or double-blind methodologies not used.
On the basis of this information, the total number of experimental papers surveyed
in each journal and the number involving blind techniques were listed, as shown
in Table 1.
This literature survey was carried out by myself and by Dr Amanda Jacks.
Table 1
Numbers of papers reviewed and the number involving blind or double-blind methodologies
in a range of scientific journals.*
|
Journal
|
Volumes (and Parts)
|
Number of Papers
|
Blind Methods
|
| Physical Sciences |
|
|
|
| Journal of the American Chemical Society |
118 (39-41)
|
86
|
0
|
Journal of Applied
Physics
|
80 (11)
|
76
|
0
|
| Journal of Physics: Condensed Matter |
8 (48-9)
|
75
|
0
|
| Totals |
|
237
|
0
|
| |
|
|
|
| Biological Sciences |
|
|
|
| Biochemical Journal |
318-9 (1-3;1)
|
191
|
0
|
| Cell |
87 (4-5)
|
29
|
0
|
| Heredity |
76 (1-5)
|
58
|
0
|
| Journal of Experimental Botany |
46-7 (295-302)
|
132
|
0
|
| Journal of Molecular Biology |
262 (2-5)
|
48
|
0
|
| Journal of Physiology |
497-8 (1;1-2)
|
145
|
4
|
| Nature |
383-4 (6600-10)
|
108
|
0
|
| Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (US) |
93 (22-3)
|
203
|
3
|
| Totals |
|
914
|
7 (0.8%)
|
| |
|
|
|
|
Medical Sciences
|
|
|
|
| American Journal of Medicine |
103-104 (5-6; 1-3)
|
45
|
22
|
| Annals of Internal Medicine |
128 (2-7)
|
41
|
12
|
| British Journal of Clinical Pharmacology |
42 (3-5)
|
49
|
4
|
| British Medical Journal |
313 (7061-6)
|
53
|
2
|
| New England Journal of Medicine |
338 (9-16)
|
39
|
15
|
| Totals |
|
227
|
55 (24.2%)
|
| |
|
|
|
| Psychology and Animal Behaviour |
|
|
|
| Animal Behaviour |
52 (1-4)
|
72
|
2
|
| British Journal of Psychology |
87 (1-3)
|
21
|
0
|
| Journal of Experimental Psychology: General |
125 (1-3)
|
23
|
2
|
| Human Perception and Performance |
22 (5-6)
|
27
|
3
|
| Totals |
|
143
|
7 (4.9%)
|
| |
|
|
|
| Parapsychology |
|
|
|
| Journal of the Society for Psychical Research (1993-6) |
59-61 (830-45)
|
14
|
11
|
| Journal of Parapsychology (1994-6) |
58 (3)- 60 (2)
|
13
|
12
|
| Totals |
|
27
|
23 (85.2%)
|
*Only papers reporting experimental results were included in this survey; theoretical
papers and review articles were excluded. All publications appeared from 1996
through 1998 unless otherwise indicated.
Survey of University Science departments
A survey of science departments at 11 British Universities was carried out
by telephone by my Research Assistant Jane Turney, an experienced interviewer.
She spoke either to professors in these departments, or to other members of
the academic teaching staff. She first introduced herself and explained that
she was carrying out a survey on the use of blind techniques in the hard sciences,
and asked them two questions:
1. Do you ever use blind experimental methodologies in your department?
2. Are students taught about blind methodologies and experimenter effects in
general?
The results of this survey were tabulated and are shown in Table 2.
Table 2
A Survey of Science Departments
*
Members of the academic staff were interviewed
by telephone and asked the following questions:
1. Do you ever use blind experimental methodologies in
your department?
2. Are students taught about blind methodologies and experimenter effects in
general?
|
Department
|
Number Surveyed
|
Blind Methods Used
|
Blind Methods Taught
|
| Physical Sciences |
|
|
|
| Inorganic Chemistry |
7
|
0
|
0
|
| Organic Chemistry |
7
|
0
|
0
|
| Physics |
9
|
1
|
1
|
| |
|
|
|
| Biological Sciences |
|
|
|
| Biochemistry |
10
|
1
|
2
|
| Molecular Biology |
6
|
1
|
0
|
| Genetics |
8
|
4
|
4
|
| Physiology |
8
|
6
|
6
|
*(Results of a survey of science departments carried out between
December 1996 and February 1997 at the following British universities: Bristol,
Cambridge, Edinburgh, Exeter, Imperial College (London), Manchester, Newcastle,
Oxford, Reading, Sheffield, University College (London))
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
The widespread neglect of possible experimenter effects
The use of blind procedures in different branches of science gives a measure
of the importance researchers in that field attach to experimenter effects.
In Table 1, I summarize the results of a survey of papers published recently
in a range of scientific journals. In the physical sciences, no blind experiments
were found among the 237 papers reviewed. In the biological sciences, there
were 7 blind experiments out of 914 (0.8%); in psychology and animal behavior,
7 out of 143 (4.9%); and in the medical sciences, 55 out of 227 (24.2%); By
far the highest proportion, 23 out of 27 papers (85.2%), was in parapsychology.
In the medical journals, out of the 55 reports involving blind methods, only
25 (11.0% of the total) represented double-blind trials. The other 30 employed
single-blind methods, with one or more of the investigators carrying out blind
evaluations or analyses. The majority of the papers did not involve blind methods.
Confirming the findings of the literature survey, the survey of science departments
at 11 British Universities confirmed that blind procedures are rare in most
branches of the physical and biological sciences. They were neither used nor
taught in 22 out of 23 physics and chemistry departments, or in 14 out of 16
biochemistry and molecular biology departments (Table 2). By contrast, blind
methodologies were practiced and taught in 4 out of 8 genetics departments,
and in 6 out of 8 physiology departments. In most of these departments they
are used occasionally rather than routinely, and are mentioned only briefly
in lectures.
When academic scientists were interviewed for this survey, some did not know
what was meant by the phrase "blind methodology". Most were aware
of blind techniques, but thought that they were necessary only in clinical research
or psychology. They believed that their principal purpose was to avoid biases
introduced by human subjects, rather than by experimenters. The commonest view
expressed by physical and biological scientists was that blind methodologies
are unnecessary outside psychology and medicine because "nature itself
is blind", as one professor put it. Some admitted the theoretical possibility
of bias by experimenters, but thought it of little importance in practice. And
one chemist added, "Science is difficult enough as it is without making
it even harder by not knowing what you are working on."
Only in exceptional cases are blind techniques used routinely. This survey
revealed 3 examples. All 3 involved industrial contracts, according to which
the university scientists were required to analyze or evaluate coded samples
without knowing their identity.
Limitations on the use of blind methodologies
In the biological and physical sciences, the fact that almost no published
research involves blind techniques reflects the fact that researchers, reviewers
and journal editors in these fields assume they are unnecessary. They are not
part of their scientific culture. There may be many situations in which they
would be desirable and informative, but practically no attention has yet been
paid to this possibility.
By contrast, blind methods are part of the culture of medical research, both
conventional and unconventional. In this context, the publication of so many
papers in mainstream medical journals that do not involve blind techniques indicates
that these methods are not always appropriate or applicable. I have not carried
out an analysis of the situations where blind methods are not used in mainstream
medical research, because my primary focus was on the biological and physical
sciences. But an analysis of this kind would probably be very illuminating.
One kind of medical research not involving blind methods is the study of case
histories. In a recent paper in this journal, Lukoff and colleagues (note
6) observed that: "The highly regarded randomized controlled clinical
trial, though often powerful and useful, is neither feasible nor ideal for understanding
the effects of many unconventional treatment approaches". My survey suggests
that blinded, randomized, controlled trials are also neither feasible nor ideal
for studying many conventional treatment approaches.
A SIMPLE EXPERIMENT TO TEST FOR EXPERIMENTER EFFECTS
Although most "hard" scientists take it for granted that blind techniques
are unnecessary in their own field of study, this assumption is so fundamental
that it deserves to be tested empirically.(note 7)
In
all branches of experimental science we can ask: do the expectations of researchers
introduce a bias, conscious or unconscious, into the way they carry out the
experimental procedures, make their observations or select data?
I propose the following procedure to test this matter. Take a typical experiment
that involves a test sample and a control - for example the comparison of an
inhibited enzyme with an uninhibited control in a biochemical experiment. Then
carry out the experiment both under open conditions, and also under blind conditions,
in which the samples are labeled A and B. In student practical classes, for
instance, half the class would do the experiment blind. The other half would
know which sample is which, as usual.
If no significant experimenter effects are found in such tests, then for the
first time there will be evidence to support the belief that blind techniques
are unnecessary. On the other hand, significant differences between the results
under open and blind conditions would reveal the existence of experimenter effects.
Further research would then be needed to find out whether the experimenters'
expectations were influencing experimental systems themselves, or merely the
way that the data were recorded or selected.
The more independent investigations, the better. It cannot be healthy for the
supposed objectivity of regular science to rest on untested assumptions.(note
8) This is an inquiry in which the critical skills of skeptics could
play a major role. The use of blind methodologies, pioneered by skeptics in
the field of unconventional medicine, has now been internalized within medicine
and psychology, resulting in improved rigor and a more sophisticated awareness
of the effects of experimenter bias. The so-called hard sciences have largely
escaped skeptical inquiry, but there seems no good reason why they should continue
to be granted this immunity.(note 9)
Perhaps it will turn out, after all, that "hard" scientists need
not bother with blind techniques. They may indeed be exceptions to the principle
that "our beliefs, desires and expectations can influence, often subconsciously,
how we observe and interpret things." On the other hand, they may be like
everybody else, including researchers in psychology and medicine.
Acknowledgments
I am grateful to Dr Amanda Jacks for her help with the literature review and
to Jane Turney for carrying out the university survey. This work was supported
by the Institute of Noetic Sciences, Sausalito, CA and the Lifebridge Foundation
of New York.
References
1. Mussachia, M. Objectivity and repeatability
in science. Skeptical Inquirer 1995; 19 (6): 33-35, 56.
2. Rosenthal, R. Experimenter Effects in Behavioral Research.
New York: John Wiley; 1976.
3. Roberts, A.H., Kewman, D.G., Mercier, L. & Hovell,
H. (1993) The power of nonspecific effects in healing: implications for psychosocial
and biological treatments. Clinical Psychology Review 13, 375.
4. White, L., Tursky, B. & Schwartz, G. (eds) Placebo:
Theory, Research and Mechanisms. New York: Guilford Press; 1985.
5. Kaptchuck, T.J. Intentional ignorance: a history of blind
assessment in medicine. Bulletin of the History of Medicine 1998; in
the press.
6. Lukoff, D., Edwards, D. and Miller, M. The case study as
a scientific method for researching alternative therapies.
Alternative Therapies in Health and Medicine 1998; 4: 44-52.
7. Sheldrake, R. Seven Experiments that Could Change the
World. London: Fourth Estate;1994.
8. Sheldrake R. Experimenter effects in scientific research:
how widely are they neglected? J Sci Exploration 1998;12(1):73-78
9. Sheldrake R. Could experimenter effects occur in the physical
and biological sciences? Skeptical Inquirer 1998;22(3):57-58
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